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Stake Stats — Session & Wager Analyser

The numbers most players never work out. Put in your turnover, the house edge of the games you play and how fast you bet, and this shows expected loss, cost per hour, and what your figures mean for VIP progression.

Expected cost per hour
Turnover per hour
Turnover per week
Turnover per year
Expected loss per week
Expected loss per year
Rebates returned per year
Net expected cost per year
VIP tier after one year

Runs entirely in your browser. Nothing you type is stored, logged or sent anywhere. Fake Stake is an independent free-play simulator and is not affiliated with Stake.com.

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The Numbers Most Players Never Calculate

Almost everyone can tell you whether they are up or down. Very few can tell you their turnover, their expected loss, or what an hour of play costs them on average. Those three numbers describe the activity far better than a running balance does, because a balance is mostly noise and expected loss is the signal underneath it.

The calculator above converts bet size, bet frequency and house edge into figures you can actually reason about. It stores nothing — everything runs in your browser and nothing is sent anywhere.

How Expected Loss Works

Expected loss is turnover multiplied by house edge. Nothing more complicated than that. Wager $10,000 across games with an average 2% edge and the expected cost is $200 — regardless of whether you finish the session up $500 or down $900.

The confusing part is that expected loss and actual result almost never match in a short run. Variance dominates a session; the edge dominates a year. Both are true at once, and the gap between them is what makes gambling feel beatable when it is not.

House Edge By Game

GameTypical house edgeCost per $10,000 wagered
Blackjack (basic strategy)0.5%$50
Crypto dice / crash / limbo1.0%$100
Baccarat (banker)1.06%$106
European roulette2.70%$270
American roulette5.26%$526
Slots (typical)3–6%$300–$600
Keno4–10%$400–$1,000

The spread is enormous. The same $10,000 of turnover costs $50 at a good blackjack table and up to $1,000 on keno. Game selection is the largest single decision available to a player, and it is made before any bet is placed.

Cost Per Hour

The most useful framing we know: treat gambling as an entertainment purchase and work out its hourly price. Three hundred bets an hour at $2 average with a 3% edge costs about $18 per hour on average. That is a reasonable price for an evening's entertainment, and it is a completely different conversation from "I hope to win".

Run your own numbers above. If the hourly figure is comfortable, you have a hobby with a known cost. If it is not, the calculator has done its job.

Turnover And VIP Progress

The same turnover figure that produces your expected loss is what drives VIP progression. Our Stake VIP level calculator converts it into tiers, and the wager calculator shows what a bonus requirement costs on top.

Stake Stats Calculator — Frequently Asked Questions

What is expected loss?
Turnover multiplied by house edge. Wager $10,000 at an average 2% edge and the expected cost is $200, regardless of how any individual session goes.
What is turnover?
The total value of every bet you place, not your deposits. Recycling the same $100 forty times is $4,000 of turnover.
Which casino game has the lowest house edge?
Blackjack played with correct basic strategy, at roughly 0.5%. Crypto originals such as dice, crash and limbo typically run 1%. American roulette and keno are the most expensive.
Does this calculator store my data?
No. Everything runs locally in your browser. Nothing is transmitted, logged or saved on any server.
Can I use these stats to predict a session?
No. Expected loss is a long-run average, and short sessions are dominated by variance. It tells you the cost of the activity, not the outcome of any evening.
Why is my actual result different from the expected loss?
Because variance is much larger than the edge over any small number of bets. Both figures are correct — they describe different time horizons.

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18+. This is an informational tool, not gambling advice. No calculator makes a house edge disappear. If gambling has stopped being fun, our responsible gambling page lists free, confidential support.
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